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2024-12-13 05:55:45

Zheshang Securities: A-shares may benefit from the rising style of risk appetite, which is more inclined to small-cap growth. Zheshang Securities Research Report pointed out that the current inflation level is in the early stage of bottoming out, and there is a lot of flexibility for the recovery of effective demand. It is expected that monetary policy will still have a total easing space such as RRR cuts and interest rate cuts. In terms of large-scale assets, A-shares may benefit from rising risk appetite, and their styles are more inclined to small-cap growth, and the valuation of technology stocks may be relatively flexible. It is recommended to pay attention to high-elastic sectors such as GEM, Kechuang 50 and Beizheng 50. In the field of fixed income, the current risk-free interest rate level has gradually approached the new equilibrium level. It is expected that the yield of the next 10-year government bonds will generally fluctuate, and the long-term interest rate is less likely to have upward risks. The credit spread is expected to narrow, and the urban investment bonds in the qualified areas will sink in a short period of time or the main allocation direction.Guotai Junan: Airline naked fares will keep rising year-on-year, and the pressure on oil prices will continue to improve. Guotai Junan Research Report said that the recent trend of passenger flow and load factor conforms to the characteristics of off-season, and is better than the same period in 2023. The pressure on oil prices has improved significantly since the fourth quarter of 2024. In December, the ex-factory price of domestic jet fuel increased slightly by 3% from the previous month and decreased by 17% year-on-year, continuing the downward trend of the central government. Recently, domestic naked fares have kept rising year-on-year, and it is estimated that more than half of the fuel has been reduced, reflecting that the recovery of supply and demand is better than expected, and it is expected that the off-season will greatly reduce losses year-on-year. Considering that the recent decline in international oil prices will be transmitted to China with a delay of about two months, the oil price pressure will continue to improve in the first quarter of 2025. It is predicted that the concentration of passenger flow in Spring Festival travel rush in the first half of 2025 will contribute to the active revenue management of the airline company, and the peak season may show more than expected profit elasticity and catalyze optimistic expectations. Reaffirm the logic of super cycle and long period of aviation equipment. When supply and demand recover, considering the marketization of fares and the slowdown of fleet growth, the profit center can be expected to rise.Many countries condemned Israel's control of the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone in the Golan Heights, and Israeli troops invaded the Syrian-Israeli military buffer zone in the Golan Heights on the 8th. On the 9th, Israeli Defense Minister Katz ordered the Israeli army to fully control the buffer zone between Israel and Syria. The Israeli army's actions have been strongly condemned by Qatar, Iraq and other governments. On the 9th, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar issued a statement strongly condemning the control of the Syrian post in the Golan Heights by the Israel Defense Forces. On the same day, the Iraqi Foreign Ministry issued a statement condemning Israel's control of the military buffer zone and the nearby land between it and Syria, and stressed that this act was a flagrant violation of international law and relevant resolutions of international legitimacy. In addition, the foreign ministries of Egypt and Jordan also issued statements on the same day, strongly condemning Israel's aggression, saying that it violated international law. The statement also called on the UN Security Council to take a firm stand against Israel's occupation.


Twenty-four companies disclosed the progress of repurchase. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird had the highest amount of fire repurchase plans. On December 10th, a total of 24 companies issued stock repurchase announcements. Among them, seven companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, one company's repurchase plan was approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and 12 companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of stock repurchase plans of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird have the highest repurchase plans, and they are planned to repurchase no more than 2.5 billion yuan, 100 million yuan and 86.1216 million yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, a total of one company's repurchase plan exceeded 10 million on that day. Henghui Security has the highest repurchase amount, and it is planned to repurchase no more than 60 million yuan.China's Ambassador to Ukraine met with Ukrainian Minister of Agricultural Policy and Food to jointly promote the upgrading of agricultural cooperation. According to the website of the Embassy of China in Ukraine, on December 9, 2024, Ambassador Ma Shengkun met with Ukrainian Minister of Agricultural Policy and Food Covali, and Tcaciuc, Director of Ukrainian Food Safety and Consumer Protection Agency, attended the meeting. The two sides had an extensive and in-depth exchange of views on cooperation in agriculture and food. Ambassador Ma said that China-Ukraine agricultural cooperation has a long history, good foundation and broad prospects, which is an important aspect of bilateral economic and trade cooperation. China has always attached great importance to it and is willing to strengthen cooperation with Uzbekistan in the fields of policy communication and coordination, mutual access of agricultural products and agricultural technology cooperation, and jointly promote the upgrading and upgrading of agricultural cooperation between the two countries. Minister Covali said that China and Ukraine are strategic partners, and China is the most important agricultural trade partner of Ukraine. Uzbekistan attaches great importance to Sino-Ukrainian agricultural cooperation and is willing to strengthen communication with China, improve the level of trade and jointly promote the agricultural development of the two countries.Xiaoyu Zhizao, Xiaomi's first furniture model company, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan, and Beijing Xiaoyu Zhizao Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Xiaoyu Zhizao), the first large model robot company invested by Xiaomi, completed a round of financing of 100 million yuan. This round of financing is exclusively invested by Beijing Information Industry Development Investment Fund. This is the second time that Xiaoyu Zhizao has received billion-dollar financing after Angel Wheel received billion-dollar investment from Xiaomi Group, Professor Wang Tianmiao and Beijing Zhiyuan Research Institute. Xiaoyu Zhizao was founded by the core founding team of Xiaomi Group in 2023, focusing on the development of large-scale model robot technology suitable for industrial fields, and has developed the "Xiaoyu Brain" universal robot brain, which enables robots to perform various tasks in the industrial environment. (science and technology innovation board Daily)


Bruker sprinted for the IPO of Hong Kong stocks, Bruker Group Co., Ltd. updated its prospectus and tried to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the second time. The co-sponsors are Goldman Sachs (Asia) Securities and Huatai Financial Holdings. According to Jost Sullivan's report, Bruker's market share in China's patchwork role toy market and China's patchwork toy market is 30.3% and 7.4% respectively. Bruker's toy products are mainly divided into two categories: "assembling role toys" and "building block toys", and the prices of mainstream products range from 19.9 yuan to 399 yuan. Most of Bruco's revenue comes from the sales of products based on Altman IP, accounting for 63.5% and 57.4% of its revenue in 2023 and the first half of 2024 respectively.CICC interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: the fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year. CICC issued a document saying that the tone of the Politburo in September will be continued, and this Politburo meeting will further inject confidence into the market, and there will be many new formulations in policy. From the perspective of policy objectives, the demand for growth is more clear, and the expression of "property market and stock market" is also very clear. From the policy direction, expanding domestic demand ranks first, and the tendency to boost consumption and improve people's livelihood is further highlighted. From the policy tone, monetary and fiscal policies are more active, and "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" is put forward for the first time. In terms of specific policy prospects, we believe that the following aspects are worthy of attention: the intensity of fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year; The loose space of monetary policy may be opened through comprehensive policies, and the structural monetary policy may be significantly overweight; Expand domestic demand in an all-round way, and incremental measures may focus more on consumption; Further promote reform and opening up. Generally speaking, the policy mix is in line with what we judge as "tight credit, loose money and wide finance" in the second half of the financial cycle.The US military suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government. On the 9th, the US military said that it had suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government of the relevant situation. According to the Associated Press, the suspension of the flight was related to the plane crash that almost happened at an air base in New Mexico on November 20th.

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